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Why Iran’s protests are dying (for now)

Posted in Irshaddering Thoughts on Jun 28, 2009

Courtesy: WikiMedia Commons 

The other day, I wrote about Ali, one of my informants in Tehran. Years ago, this young Iranian introduced me to Martin Luther King Jr’s “Letter from a Birmingham Jail.”

Ali has spent the past two weeks in hospital, after taking blows to the head from Basij paramilitaries. If there’s a consolation in any of this, it may be that a hospital bed sucks less than a prison cell.

Still, Ali is becoming despondent. Iran’s demonstrations are dying. And so, it seems, is his soul. Here’s what I just reported to my Facebook constituency: “He’s out of hospital now but quite demoralized over 1) gov’t crackdown; 2) lack of opposition leader (where’s Mousavi gone to??); 3) no new strategies (see “lack of leader”); 4) deep division among Iranians about whether protests are valuable. (Some Tehran bizpeople are angry that sales are down bigtime due to public’s fear of being in streets.)”

But there’s something more about why the protests are abating: Young Iranians have taken inspiration from the central narrative of Shia Islam. That narrative challenges dictatorship. So far, so good. Problem is, the same narrative celebrates martyrdom as the means to achieve only a moral victory, not a political one.

In effect, Shia tradition romanticizes suffering. And anything that turns oppression into a fetish won’t end oppression. The question thus becomes: Can young Iranians use Shia tradition to replace, once and for all, martyrdom with freedom?

Read my full analysis in the Toronto Globe and Mail.